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You say:"If it ...That was going to be my point too. You say:<BR/><BR/>"If it fails to win a majority in a parliamentary election it assuredly will lose the referendum too.."<BR/><BR/>That surely doesn't follow at all and I wonder why someone as well versed in things as you claims that it does. You know perfectly well that support for independence crosses the parties (and of course some SNP voters would actually vote against in a referendum). But even leaving that to one side, and looking only at the parties' positions, there are two other parties which support independence. It is quite possible, is it not, that the votes cast for the three independence-supporting parties could constitute a majority? And that might become a likelihood if a new centre right party, independence-supporting party emerged.<BR/><BR/>As it happens, I think that the first referendum will be lost but that means I'm just all the more keen to get it out the way. Your comments though were so obviously either wrong or mischievous that they spoiled the whole article and argument for me.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22403989.post-1159955875989456722006-10-04T10:57:00.000+01:002006-10-04T10:57:00.000+01:00IainWhy would an independence referendum be likely...Iain<BR/><BR/>Why would an independence referendum be likely to be lost in light of recent opinion polls?Mark McDonaldhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10292862372719054962noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-22403989.post-1159955803091541262006-10-04T10:56:00.000+01:002006-10-04T10:56:00.000+01:00This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.Mark McDonaldhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10292862372719054962noreply@blogger.com