It’s prediction time again, and another chance for political commentators to fall flat on their faces. Who could have forecast, twelve months ago, that the Liberal Democrats would be in government by now? Or that the Scottish transport minister would resign because he got the weather forecast wrong? Or that Vince Cable would become public enemy number one for introducing £9,000 tuition fees in England?
Reality often turns out to be far more bizarre than anyone could have imagined, which is the fun of crystal ball gazing. Who could have imagined that the stock markets would boom in 2010, even as a sovereign debt crisis was sweeping Europe? Or that Scotland’s referees would go on strike? Or that Ed Miliband would beat his brother David Miliband in a knife edge race for the Labour leadership? Prediction is a mug’s game, but here are mine.